The linked article in National Review presents the take of Stratfor’s George Friedman on the rapidly worsening situation in Europe; and no, he’s not talking about the Euro and the Grexit.
Understanding Vladimir Putin’s motivations, and predicting what’s next in simmering Central Europe, is attracting a lot of attention, at least among folks that are able to look over their own barricades into the middle distance. Friedman says it’s all about Germany:
“The fighting in Ukraine is thus part of the process of drawing the line between Russia and Germany on the west of the continent, the line that Hitler and Stalin so disastrously failed to draw. Poland and the Baltic republics are likely to be tested next.”
Friedman can be unsettling, and although he makes his share of bad calls, he certainly is refreshing and (sadly) unique in his ability to step out of the news cycle and provide analysis with a historical perspective.
Germany and Russia. Germany – the elephant in the European living room that no European, including practically no German, wants to talk about.
Russia is a dangerous combination of boldness, paranoia, and underlying weakness. Can’t they just accept the demographic inevitable, lay themselves down and die? They were “Godless communists” for so long that they seem unwilling to accept that there is any fate but what we make; and maybe they’re right.
The way the European Union is going, Germany will have a large, hungry, unemployed subject population to conscript soldiers from, since young Germans can’t be bothered. And they have a tradition of alliance with the Turks against Russia. It looks more like a game of Diplomacy all the time. A game which, as I recall, did not include the USA at all.
It’s another bad century to be a Pole. When was the last good one?
Read more at: http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/415016/experts-agree-europe-doomed-david-pryce-jones